We have just one horse at Gulfstream we’re looking forward to betting on today, and it’s #1 Fast Fact (10-1) in the 10th race. Fast Fact last ran in a similar race two weeks ago, and is #9 in the video below.
As you can see in the video, Fast Fact was tracking the pace in a pretty good spot but had to steady sharply and lost at least two, maybe three lengths as a tiring rival retreated in front of him.
From there, he got going again, moving 3-4 wide into the lane. He was then, for some reason, navigated back inside, when he should have gone outside. The rider then finally tipped him out and he was trying down to the wire. He would have likely won if not for the trouble. Further, today, Fast Fact gets a rider change to Luis Saez.
The 5-2 favorite is #5 Set Me Up, who did not finish strongly last time after getting a good trip stalking two 99-1 shots.
We do not expect to get the full 10-1, but at half that price, Fast Fact is worth a play.
Aqueduct Race 7 – Todd Pletcher’s first-time starter from the inside is going to take money but Pletcher is 0-14 with first-time starting maiden-claimers on dirt at Aqueduct, which indicates that he leaves his weaker horses here for the winter (no surprise there).
#2 Freudian Analyst (6-1) has run his two best races on wet tracks, which he gets today. While he was beaten 16 lengths in his two-back race at this level, the two horses that ran 1-2 there would be 1-10 and 1-5 in here. Then he was wired last time in what was also likely a tougher heat than this one. He’s probably a little better than he looks on paper and can upset the field.