Today’s 8th at Aqueduct is a very interesting New York-bred allowance race that, though it just drew a field of six, came up pretty competitive.
Aqueduct Race 8 – This state-bred two-other-than drew a competitive field of six, led by #3 Can You Diggit (9/5), who goes out for trainer Jimmy Jerkens. Can You Diggit has run into Twisted Tom, a Chad Brown runner that has won every start this year save the Belmont Stakes and was an impressive winner of the Empire Classic last time. Can You Diggit rallied from seventh in that race, one that featured a moderate pace, to be a solid third behind the speed exacta, and he’s very logical in here.
However, this race does not feature a lot of early speed, and that could help our top selection, #4 Samadi Sky (8-1). Samadi Sky goes out for trainer Robert Barbara and goes turf-to-dirt after two tries going long on the grass. In his last race on November 5th, he tracked a fast pace that completely fell apart, chasing solid veteran Changewilldoyagood. Two-back, he rallied strongly to just miss at Belmont and finished ahead of two next-out allowance winners.
The biggest question for Samadi Sky is distance. He’s never gone this far on dirt. Both of those turf races, however, were at 8.5 furlongs, so it’s reasonable to assume the distance is within reach. In his most recent dirt race on September 22nd, he chased a very fast pace that fell apart. His two-back dirt race on August 25th at Saratoga, he was a perfectly solid second to an even-money Chad Brown runner and beat the solid veteran Eye Luv Lulu.
Samadi Sky figures to be the speed in here, and we’d expect Luis Saez to put him on the lead and have the rest of the field play catch me if you can. Our bet is, they can’t.