Kentucky Downs runs the first card of their five-day meet today, re-scheduled from Saturday after heavy rain. The feature is the $400,000 Tourist Mile and it drew a solid field of nine.
Our pick is #2 Flatlined (6-1) for trainer Scooter Dickey. He ran some good races over the winter at Gulfstream, including a second to Gulfstream-loving Heart to Heart in the El Prado and a win in the G2 Fort Laurderdale. He went way off form at Keeneland and Churchill, in two very deep fields, and probably didn’t handle the soft turf on Derby Day. Either way, he was rested for a few months and then came back in a stakes race at Ellis.
His performance in that race was very impressive. One Mean Man and One Go All Go set a pretty pedestrian pace and Flatlined angled out at the top of the lane and ran them both down, making up nine lengths into a final 5/16ths of a mile run in 28.96 seconds. The race didn’t come back especially fast (90 Beyer) but it was a strong effort and his races from Gulfstream are good enough.
There should be a pretty solid pace in this race as well with #1 Hootenanny (5-1), #3 Shining Copper (3-1), #5 Western Reserve (6-1), and #8 Irish Strait (2-1) all potential pace horses. Irish Strait is the horse we want to play against. He set a very slow pace in wiring the Red Bank and stayed on the better inside and had a good trip in the Monmouth Stakes on Haskell Day. Shining Copper is a talented speed horse but might need one off of the 13-month layoff.
Flatlined is the pick and can spring the upset in the Opening Day feature at Kentucky Downs.