It’s Travers Day at Saratoga! Here is our analysis of the Travers itself. In this post, we’ll look at a few of the different races across the sensational card.
Race 3 – #2 Chirping (12-1) stretches out from 5.5 furlongs to 8.5 furlongs for his second start, going out for Tom Proctor. In his debut, he broke slowly and put in a good rally behind a wire to wire winner and finished just behind a next-out winner. He should stretch out and is well drawn.
Race 5 – #11 Toughest ‘Ombre (20-1) might be a bit of a stretch, but has had some trouble in his races especially two-back when he had gate problems and was compromised by a very slow pace. He didn’t do a ton of running last time, but that was a tougher field than this one with Delta Prince, who won that race easily, is heading to the Baruch next weekend. #5 Derby Champagne (12-1) rallied late and beat our pick by a half-length last time but that race was by far his fastest and he’s had a bunch of chances. Toughest ‘Ombre is a bit of a stretch but this is a very wide open race.
Race 7 – Ballerina (G1) – #7 Highway Star (10-1) turns back, always fires, and ran pretty well last time behind Songbird and Paid Up Subscriber. She’s drawn perfectly on the outside and the two favorites – #3 Paulassilverlining (2-1), #4 By the Moon (3-1), and #5 Carina Mia (7-2) are not so fast that they tower over the field. Of those, we prefer By the Moon, who ran well behind a slow pace last time.
Race 8 – Allen Jerkens (G1) – I’m not looking to oppose #1 Practical Joke (5-2), who is undefeated around one turn and had to wait while getting shuffled back a bit around the far turn in the Haskell last time, going too far. The speed we’ll use is #2 Takaful (5-1), who has run two sprints – an eight-length maiden win and a 5.25 length allowance win on Opening Day.
Race 10 – Sword Dancer (G1) – #7 Idaho (2-1) is much the horse to beat, shipping in for Aidan O’Brien, but #5 Money Multiplier (7-2) got a great prep at Monmouth and ran huge in this race last year with serious trouble behind Flintshire. Further, he really wants firm turf, which he gets here. We’ve always liked #3 Sadler’s Joy (5-1), and while this is a tougher field than last time, he did move early in that race and wants every bit of 12 furlongs. Because it’s a short field, it’s tough to bet this race, but if Sadler’s Joy gets lost, we’ll bet him and box him with Money Multiplier and Idaho in the exacta.
Race 11 – Travers (G1) – We like Cloud Computing and wrote it up here.
Race 13 – #11 Herecomesyourman (5-1) ran very well two-back where he was the first to attack a fast pace that fell apart, just getting caught late by a Shug McGaughey closer. If he runs back to that race here, he’ll be tough.
It’s a great day of racing. Enjoy!